In his first two years as president, Joe Biden surprised and delighted the progressive wing of the Democratic Party. Early on, he signed into law the American Rescue Plan, a nearly $2 trillion economic stimulus bill aimed at pandemic relief. He signed a $1.2 trillion infrastructure package and the first gun control legislation in decades.
But recently, President Biden has taken a number of steps that counter the liberal narrative. He gave the go-ahead to a major oil drilling project in Alaska. He built a budget heavy on deficit reduction and helped Congress repeal a crime bill passed by the Washington, DC, city council.
why we write this
President Joe Biden appears to be repositioning himself for a 2024 re-election campaign by moving to the center on issues like crime, oil and immigration.
None of these latest moves should come as a surprise, longtime Biden watchers say. A Washington fixture for decades, both in the Senate and the vice presidency, he was a creature of the middle, often willing to work the aisle and cut deals.
“He always manages to find the center of the Democratic Party and be there,” says Seth Masket, a political scientist at the University of Denver.
Now, Mr. Biden appears to be gearing up for a long-awaited 2024 re-election campaign, and with no signs he’ll face major opposition for the Democratic presidential nomination, he may aim his message squarely at top general election voters.
In his first two years as president, Joe Biden surprised and delighted the progressive wing of the Democratic Party.
Early on, he signed into law the American Rescue Plan, a nearly $2 trillion economic stimulus bill aimed at pandemic relief. He signed a $1.2 trillion infrastructure package and the first gun control legislation in decades. He is pursuing a massive student debt relief initiative, now before the Supreme Court, and last August, he signed landmark legislation on climate change and health care.
“Biden has gone left,” conservatives essentially yelled from the sidelines.
why we write this
President Joe Biden appears to be repositioning himself for a 2024 re-election campaign by moving to the center on issues like crime, oil and immigration.
Against this backdrop, President Biden has taken a series of recent steps that contradict the liberal narrative: He approved a major oil drilling project in Alaska. He developed a budget heavy on deficit reduction. He helped Congress strike down a crime bill passed by Washington, DC, countering the city’s statehood movement. And he is reportedly considering reinstating a Trump-era practice of stopping migrant families crossing the southern border illegally.
What gives? In fact, none of these latest moves should come as a surprise, longtime Biden watchers say. A Washington fixture for decades, both in the Senate and the vice presidency, he was a creature of the middle, often willing to work the aisle and cut deals.
“This has been his real strength throughout his career,” says Seth Masket, a political scientist at the University of Denver. “He always manages to find the center of the Democratic Party and be there.”
The “downtown”, of course, is a constantly evolving place, depending on where the two parties are located. And today, in the midst of intense political polarization, it has become smaller and more difficult to define, as the parties themselves resolve sharp internal disagreements.
Historically, Mr. Biden has sometimes pushed the envelope in a liberal direction, such as in 2012, when he endorsed same-sex marriage to his then-boss, President Barack Obama. In the other direction, Mr. Biden once had good relations with segregationistsand as Chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee in 1991, gave brief writing to sexual harassment charges against then-Supreme Court nominee Clarence Thomas.
Now, Mr. Biden appears to be gearing up for a long-awaited 2024 re-election campaign, and with no signs he’ll face major opposition for the Democratic presidential nomination, he may aim his message squarely at top general election voters.
That reality may well be unfolding as the president grapples with the turmoil in the banking industry, sparked by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. On Friday, Mr. Biden urged Congress to take action aimed at strengthening the accountability of top bank executives.
“Him pointing out that he is in favor of more regulation and that the Republicans are preventing us from doing it, that seems like good electoral positioning,” says Professor Masket, author of the book “Learning From Loss: The Democrats, 2016-2020”.
While calls for increased banking regulation appear to be in line with public opinion lack of trust in financial institutions Since the 2008-2009 economic crisis, other new items on Biden’s agenda could risk alienating the activist left, those who not only vote but also work to get the vote out and perform other vital party functions.
this week, climate activists organized protests against the Biden-approved plan to allow ConocoPhillips to drill on federal land in Alaska. And if the Biden administration goes ahead with further arrests of migrant families, expect more protests from relevant interest groups.
So far, the goodwill that Mr. Biden has built with progressives seems to serve him well, and may even have gained him a bit of patience as he veers toward the center.
“Clearly we continue to see Biden as the president of the people,” says Rahna Epting, executive director of MoveOn.org. “First of all, he received more than 80 million votes in 2020. We know that he has a wide range of constituents that he has to consider.”
And what about the recent departure of White House chief of staff Ron Klain, a decades-long Biden aide who was a fixture on Twitter and seen as a White House emissary to the left? Mr. Klain was replaced by Jeff Zients, promoted for his executive ability but less politically oriented.
That observation reflects an “inside the Beltway” mentality, Ms Epting says, and ignores a larger context: Democrats no longer control both houses of Congress, having lost the House in the November midterms.
“It’s a different time of government,” says Ms Epting. “It is likely that the administration is turning to the campaign, rather than trying to push a legislative agenda in Congress.”
He also expresses confidence that Biden’s remaining top advisers know what they are doing. Many of them are veterans of both the “Biden world” and previous Democratic White Houses.
Expect, too, to hear a lot of this “Bidenism” – “Don’t compare me to the Almighty. Compare me to the alternative. – As he prepares to run again in 2024, potentially against former President Donald Trump.
For veteran moderate Democratic activist Jim Kessler, co-founder of the Third Way group, Biden is simply moving to where Americans are on key issues, including crime and immigration.
“I put them at the top of the list,” says Kessler. “Democrats have been overwhelmed by the far-left slogans of ‘defund the police’ and ‘abolish ICE,’” he adds, referring to US Immigration and Customs Enforcement.
“If you’re in a cobalt blue district, you can just shrug it off,” he says. “But if you need to win the middle of America, ideologically, then you have to take corrective action.”